Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 1.385848 1.723711 2.174277 2.845004 3.869671 5.480624 8.476892
2025-08-10 0.971518 1.328709 1.885948 2.907802 5.007241 10.137003 31.083980
2025-08-17 0.782628 1.137353 1.752280 3.070403 6.581506 20.783989 380.917472
2025-08-24 0.650771 0.982401 1.597995 3.070090 7.896342 41.419163 NaN
2025-08-31 0.550602 0.851429 1.435121 2.939152 8.709011 78.646296 NaN
2025-09-07 0.498080 0.792058 1.393209 3.093087 11.196352 353.621452 NaN
2025-09-14 0.448706 0.727438 1.318828 3.109485 13.316367 6833.499679 NaN
2025-09-21 0.403476 0.662474 1.225687 3.013419 14.673495 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.368900 0.613159 1.157196 2.967485 16.627985 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.355711 0.605071 1.186601 3.312974 25.698820 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.337840 0.584103 1.177630 3.507034 36.555495 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.315748 0.550864 1.128099 3.488485 44.341315 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.291841 0.511505 1.055932 3.330336 47.405805 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.277212 0.491251 1.033996 3.424185 66.746995 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.266663 0.478843 1.031989 3.634612 115.761846 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.252751 0.457042 0.997546 3.634801 162.121839 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.237114 0.429690 0.941533 3.467580 174.235316 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.229600 0.420667 0.940569 3.664415 402.358278 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.219747 0.405061 0.915938 3.685455 767.051576 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.208570 0.385303 0.874851 3.562410 999.465930 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.199303 0.369453 0.844299 3.503739 1765.176052 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.197470 0.371529 0.873342 3.947616 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.192911 0.366386 0.877066 4.199518 NaN NaN NaN